https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-11-27/climate-target-2035-badly-miss-projection/106059034
Australia is projected to fall just shy of its 2030 climate target and badly miss its 2035 target without significant changes, the climate change minister has revealed.
Delivering an annual climate statement to parliament, Climate Change Minister Chris Bowen said it was normal "for there to be a gap between projected emissions and a target 10 years in the future".
"As new policies are developed and implemented, the emissions outlook improves. That's what a target is for — to drive new initiatives and work," Mr Bowen said.
The Environment Department says Australia is on track to reach a 42 per cent reduction in emissions by the end of this decade, 1 per cent short of the legislated target.
But the department has warned in its annual statement that the country is far further behind on meeting the government's recently decided commitment to cut emissions by 62 to 70 per cent by 2035.
It says on current projections, emissions will fall by just 48 per cent instead.
While the government will fall short of its headline 2030 goal, it is still expected to meet its international obligations for this decade, as it will remain within the cumulative carbon emissions budget set under the Paris Agreement.
